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Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-4. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 8:08 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 6.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 31, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 13 of 16 (.813). Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (1 G, 1 A), 2. Michael Bunting (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Marchand (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Zacha1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Bunting1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS07412212631
PITPIT01328211432

Scoring

10 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    A. Peeke (9), C. Coyle (34)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:08
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:22
  3. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:27
  4. BOS
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:35
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.29win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    14:54
  6. PIT
    M. Bunting(19)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.29win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:52

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:32
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-3
    14:10
  3. BOS
    D. Heinen(17)EN
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:13
  4. PIT
    snapxG 0.18Video
    6-4
    18:39

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:52BOSMorgan Geekie · Cross checkingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 15:51PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 14:37BOSJesper Boqvist · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 3:44PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 7:08PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBOS goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 2nd 8:08 — BOS 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.40B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.33M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.30R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.25D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.20E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.18B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.18V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.08R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.03R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsPIT
6.55 G
All situations
4 G3.1
3.34 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS73%27%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.60 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000+210.02010—22:46
73C. McAvoyD011010.17350—21:57
25B. CarloD000+210.01140—21:02
88D. PastrnakR022+140.8600010018:59
63B. MarchandL101+140.93010—18:36
18P. ZachaC112+140.701004218:21
74J. DeBruskL101041.43200—17:57
48M. GrzelcykD011+110.01030—17:27
52A. PeekeD011+100.01320—17:03
13C. CoyleC022+210.041307516:21
43D. HeinenL101+220.70010—15:15
12K. ShattenkirkD101+110.04010—14:18
39M. GeekieC101020.414024414:11
70J. BoqvistC000020.112022913:42
61P. MaroonL000010.11500—13:16
11T. FredericC011000.0040010012:32
19J. BeecherC000-100.222003312:03
94J. LaukoC011+120.6810010010:59
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)32284.8753.14-0.8660:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).