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Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins

FinalTV ESPN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Boston Bruins 6-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Penguins led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 11:19 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 56% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 35, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 3.0 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT41611118635
BOSBOS21128110529

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.34win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:41
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:04
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:17
  4. BOS
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:39
  5. PIT
    S. Crosby (19), K. Letang (22)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:21
  6. PIT
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:58

2nd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang (23), B. Rust (11)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:38
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-3
    9:51
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    19:24

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +26 ptsVideo
    5-5
    3:08
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +27 ptsVideo
    6-5
    11:19

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:52PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Steen2 min

2nd

  • 4:36BOSBrandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 13:21PITKris Letang · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

3rd

  • 1:38BOSCharlie McAvoy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:12BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalPIT goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 3rd 11:19 — PIT 56% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.34J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.13T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBOS
3.66 G
All situations
5 G2.0
2.75 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT75%25%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBOS
35
Shots on goal
29
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000-120.04040—25:23
58K. LetangD033-130.04342—24:04
65E. KarlssonD022000.19100—20:28
59J. GuentzelC101+140.69110019:30
87S. CrosbyC123+130.412207318:39
67R. RakellR011+130.56010—17:18
17B. RustR011-220.01220—17:16
55N. AcciariC000040.332306317:09
73P. JosephD000020.02212—16:56
71E. MalkinC000-210.112005716:38
27R. GravesD101+110.03210—15:26
20L. EllerC112+130.091107515:25
10D. O'ConnorL112+120.38400—14:28
2C. RuhwedelD000+100.00000—14:28
19R. SmithR000-210.06300—14:13
43J. HarkinsC000010.02400010:31
77J. CarterC101020.50000010:31
48V. PuustinenR000+110.14000—07:37
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)29245.8282.03-2.9760:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).