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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV ALT, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Ekholm's goal at 8:55 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 24, EDM 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 41 of 47 (.872), 1.5 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G), 2. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evander Kane (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Kane2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL2601008224
EDMEDM217214216647

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(11)
    D. Nurse (17), C. Ceci (19)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:52
  2. COL
    J. Drouin(18)
    N. MacKinnon (83), M. Rantanen (62)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:58
  3. COL
    R. Colton(16)
    A. Lehkonen (15), C. Makar (64)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:59
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(30)
    M. Ekholm (33), L. Draisaitl (61)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:18

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(10)
    L. Draisaitl (62), E. Bouchard (61)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:55
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(22)
    R. McLeod (15), C. Ceci (20)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(31)
    E. Bouchard (62), Z. Hyman (21)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    4:05
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(23)
    R. McLeod (16), B. Kulak (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    11:59

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:28COLserved by R. Colton · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:51COLYakov Trenin · Holdingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 13:44EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 4:01COLJack Johnson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 8:55COLserved by R. Colton · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 5:30EDMBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 8:32EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 15:04COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Ekholm, 2nd 8:55 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.33Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.29L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.24E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.20C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 4.5 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
1.62 G
All situations
6 G4.5
1.32 G
Even strength
6 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL11%89%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 4.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
47
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-220.09200—22:48
29N. MacKinnonC011-240.210103122:29
27J. DrouinL101-110.09010—21:32
8C. MakarD011-200.02010—21:32
49S. GirardD000020.05210—20:08
13V. NichushkinR000-100.07110—19:43
42J. MansonD000+220.03812—18:59
26S. WalkerD000-420.03300—16:47
62A. LehkonenL011010.14100—16:42
37C. MittelstadtC000-320.241003116:11
3J. JohnsonD000-210.04002—14:25
28M. WoodL000-120.141005012:42
12B. DuhaimeL000-200.05700—12:33
20R. ColtonC101-120.204102512:22
73Y. TreninC000000.003123911:49
9Z. PariseL000-110.06000—10:50
11A. CoglianoC000000.00000009:23
96M. RantanenR011020.1610010009:15
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)47416.8724.46-1.5460:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).