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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
2
Final/OTTV ALT, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Artturi Lehkonen scoring at 4:59. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 4:59 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were COL 43, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Walker (2 G), 2. Stuart Skinner (40 saves, .930), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Walker2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner40 saves, .930
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL0711611713343
EDMEDM0100921104234

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    S. Walker(7)
    A. Lehkonen (12), J. Johnson (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(16)
    E. Bouchard (49)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:46
  2. EDM
    S. Carrick(9)
    M. Janmark (7), C. Perry (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +33 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:48
  3. COL
    S. Walker(8)
    C. Mittelstadt (35), J. Drouin (27)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +36 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:40

Overtime

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(12)
    N. MacKinnon (74), C. Makar (57)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:59

Penalties

COL 7 PIM·EDM 7 PIM

1st

  • 15:46EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

2nd

  • 0:29COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 4:13EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Drouin0 min
  • 19:25EDMVincent Desharnais · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 19:25COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, OT 4:59 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.26W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.19E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
3.83 G
All situations
2 G3.1
3.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL60%40%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
43
Shots on goal
34
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
30
Hits
39
18
Blocked shots
26
5
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+230.36120—27:31
7D. ToewsD000030.05100—26:36
29N. MacKinnonC011+160.450102924:43
96M. RantanenR000-130.321025023:59
13V. NichushkinR000-140.45220—23:39
49S. GirardD000-210.02030—21:02
26S. WalkerD202+230.37120—18:44
37C. MittelstadtC011+200.050003018:14
62A. LehkonenL112+320.29010—17:57
27J. DrouinL011+220.31200—16:58
42J. MansonD000-100.02405—15:12
3J. JohnsonD011000.01210—13:55
73Y. TreninC000010.014006312:05
28M. WoodL000-130.20020—11:49
9Z. PariseL000-130.24100—10:48
12B. DuhaimeL000040.38320—10:44
20R. ColtonC000-240.175105009:49
11A. CoglianoC000010.07310009:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)34322.9413.14+1.1464:59

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).