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Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Angus Crookshank's goal at 6:02 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.3, NJD 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 25, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Jake Allen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Joseph (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ridly Greig (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Joseph1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1631118525
NJDNJD042808220

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Joseph(11)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:56

2nd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:23
  2. NJD
    O. Palat (20), D. Mercer (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:59
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:06
  4. OTT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:02
  5. OTT
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:01

3rd period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    10:15

Penalties

OTT 13 PIM·NJD 15 PIM

1st

  • 2:38OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 2:38NJDKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 3:22OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 5:14NJDLuke Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 12:20NJDserved by A. Holtz · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:19NJDJohn Marino · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 7:19OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Holtz2 min
  • 8:19NJDJesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 15:00OTTMathieu Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 8:02OTTJake Sanderson · High stickingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 11:40NJDTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Korpisalo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Angus Crookshank, 2nd 6:02 — OTT 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.25E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.22T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.16O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.12D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.11T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 2.1 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
2.35 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT54%46%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
20
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
8
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+130.19112—24:46
72T. ChabotD112+110.17110—23:37
2A. ZubD000+120.14110—22:15
18T. StützleC011+100.150026020:03
6J. ChychrunD000010.06000—19:41
7B. TkachukL022+220.203002219:16
19D. BathersonR101050.1700010018:48
28C. GirouxR000000.180006918:47
26E. BrannstromD011+200.00000—18:05
57S. PintoC000010.060003016:07
71R. GreigC101+210.120003013:53
59A. CrookshankC101030.25020013:52
21M. JosephR112+220.29012—13:43
27P. KellyC000010.0701010012:17
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+100.00012—12:07
81D. KubalikL000010.11010—11:20
14B. KatchoukL000010.05000—07:05
12M. KastelicC000010.072256706:26
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)20182.9002.12+0.1259:52

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).