Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Angus Crookshank's goal at 6:02 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.3, NJD 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 25, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Jake Allen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Joseph (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ridly Greig (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:56
2nd period
1-10:23
1-20:59
2-24:06
3-26:02
4-29:01
3rd period
5-210:15
Penalties
1st
- 2:38
Mark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
- 2:38
Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
- 3:22
Tim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
- 5:14
Luke Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 12:20
served by A. Holtz · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:19
John Marino · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
2nd
- 7:19
Jacob Bernard-Docker · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Holtz2 min
- 8:19
Jesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
- 15:00
Mathieu Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
3rd
- 8:02
Jake Sanderson · High stickingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
- 11:40
Timo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Korpisalo2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Angus Crookshank, 2nd 6:02 — 47% → 64%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.35 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 1.44 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.41 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.05
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 0/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 8
- Hits
- 10
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 7
- Giveaways
- 13
- 8
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
