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Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸6
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV MSGSN2, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 6-2. The Senators scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dawson Mercer's goal at 7:17 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.3, OTT 2.4; shots on goal were NJD 30, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G, 2 A), 3. Luke Hughes (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    L. Hughes1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD29211210630
OTTOTT1608113227

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(14)
    B. Tkachuk (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:47
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(15)PPG
    L. Hughes (13), J. Bratt (26)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:10
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(14)PPG
    J. Hughes (27), L. Hughes (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.29win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:17
  2. NJD
    T. Toffoli(15)
    J. Bratt (27), J. Hughes (28)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    14:47

3rd period

  1. NJD
    B. Smith(1)
    N. Hischier (9), J. Bratt (28)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:59
  2. OTT
    J. Bernard-Docker(3)
    E. Brannstrom (6), A. Crookshank (1)
    slapxG 0.01Video
    5-2
    13:25
  3. NJD
    L. Hughes(6)
    A. Holtz (7), C. Tierney (1)
    snapxG 0.02Video
    6-2
    17:28

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:13NJDserved by T. Meier · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:34OTTDrake Batherson · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:50OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:40OTTClaude Giroux · Interferencedrawn by Erik Haula2 min

2nd

  • 1:38NJDDawson Mercer · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:44OTTMark Kastelic · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 15:43NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 1:52NJDBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Dawson Mercer, 2nd 7:17 — NJD 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.27J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.22D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.17B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Smejkal · Missed · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Smejkal · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
2.36 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD48%52%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
30
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88K. BahlD000+110.02210—22:06
71J. SiegenthalerD000030.04210—21:18
91D. MercerC101010.320125019:58
13N. HischierC011+130.180003919:30
2B. SmithD101020.23022—18:33
43L. HughesD123+220.08100—18:21
17S. NemecD000+120.02000—18:04
28T. MeierR000-110.02000—17:58
6J. MarinoD000+100.00020—17:21
56E. HaulaL000010.040028016:44
63J. BrattL134+130.28110—16:44
86J. HughesC123030.251102716:17
18O. PalatL000000.00030—16:05
20M. McLeodC000010.285207515:24
73T. ToffoliC101+130.24100013:41
11C. TierneyC011+130.240006709:13
14N. BastianR000+100.00100—08:55
10A. HoltzR011+110.03000—05:56
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(W)27252.9262.37+0.3759:53

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).