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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 17:45 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 23, WSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.1 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 2 A), 2. Hendrix Lapierre (2 A), 3. Charlie Lindgren (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    H. Lapierre2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2110507223
WSHWSH053927521

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost (21), O. Tippett (16)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:52
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(22)PPG
    E. Zamula (12), M. Frost (22)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:23

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:34
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:55
  3. WSH
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:45

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Mantha(19)PPG
    D. Strome (24), T. Wilson (13)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:04
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.35win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    15:38

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:35WSHDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 16:47WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

2nd

  • 10:56PHICam York · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 14:49WSHMax Pacioretty · Boardingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min

3rd

  • 5:39PHISean Walker · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 7:39WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 7:39PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 7:39WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 7:39PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 18:21PHISean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 2nd 17:45 — WSH 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.37D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.35T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.23M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.23A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.21S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.19A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.19S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.18J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.06A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 2.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
1.62 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI26%74%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
21
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-110.04110—23:29
8C. YorkD000-120.05202—22:35
86J. FarabeeL000-120.031006720:33
71T. FoersterR000000.08100—20:26
21S. LaughtonC000010.072004719:44
25R. PoehlingC000-200.000305018:59
26S. WalkerD000-210.01114—18:36
24N. SeelerD000-210.03310—17:50
74O. TippettR112060.29110—17:46
5E. ZamulaD011010.02110—17:04
48M. FrostC022010.142207016:06
27N. CatesL000-100.08210—15:24
18M. StaalD000010.01010—14:59
14S. CouturierC000-210.022005614:39
19G. HathawayR000-120.19704—14:30
10B. BrinkR101-120.44100—09:54
62O. LycksellR000-110.04000—06:54
44N. DeslauriersL000000.06300—06:28
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)21165.7622.94-2.0660:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).