Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 17:45 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 23, WSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.1 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 2 A), 2. Hendrix Lapierre (2 A), 3. Charlie Lindgren (21 saves, .913).
Three stars
- ★D. Strome1 G, 2 A

- ★★H. Lapierre2 A

- ★★★C. Lindgren21 saves, .913

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:52
2-018:23
2nd period
2-14:34
2-29:55
2-317:45
3rd period
2-46:04
2-515:38
Penalties
1st
- 3:35
Dylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
- 16:47
Tom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
2nd
- 10:56
Cam York · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
- 14:49
Max Pacioretty · Boardingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
3rd
- 5:39
Sean Walker · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
- 7:39
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
- 7:39
Garnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 7:39
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
- 7:39
Garnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 18:21
Sean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Carlson, 2nd 17:45 — 53% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.62 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.9
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.7
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 2.81
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 30
- Hits
- 27
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 9
- Giveaways
- 13
- 6
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 2-1
3@
4SOFinal
2@
5this game
2@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
