Skip to content
Sabres at Panthers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Sabres scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 12:54 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 40% to 54%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 30, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1908113230
FLAFLA21101818337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    D. Cozens(12)PPG
    J. Greenway (11), O. Power (17)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:25
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(14)
    N. Cousins (5), B. Montour (16)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:54
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(21)PPG
    C. Verhaeghe (31), B. Montour (17)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:36

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(5)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (46), S. Reinhart (29)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:41
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(17)
    R. Dahlin (30), A. Tuch (23)
    deflectedxG 0.38win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:44

Penalties

BUF 14 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:44BUFZach Benson · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 6:44FLADmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 7:40FLABrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 15:22BUFJacob Bryson · High stickingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 19:35FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 7:44BUFConnor Clifton · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 14:23BUFJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 14:23FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 14:23BUFJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:09FLADmitry Kulikov · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

3rd

  • 0:31FLANiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 9:01BUFZach Benson · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 9:01BUFserved by J. Peterka · Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBUF goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 12:54 — FLA 40% → 54%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.13K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsFLA
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.31 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF37%63%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
37
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/4
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
41
14
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011+120.05110—30:49
25O. PowerD011010.02220—23:35
10H. JokiharjuD000020.02120—23:32
89A. TuchR011+110.081103321:08
37C. MittelstadtC000000.06000920:00
53J. SkinnerL000+110.231002519:54
24D. CozensC101040.173005019:24
72T. ThompsonC101+170.872104318:52
75C. CliftonD000000.02022—15:31
78J. BrysonD000010.03122—14:35
12J. GreenwayL011010.09204—14:03
77J. PeterkaR000-120.07000—12:39
19P. KrebsC000-120.111004012:21
9Z. BensonL000-100.00014—11:27
28Z. GirgensonsC000040.083105610:38
21K. OkposoR000010.111005710:21
50E. RobinsonL000000.00000—09:06
6E. JohnsonD000-110.04210—03:31
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)37343.9192.78-0.2259:40

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).