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Lightning at Devils
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
New Jersey Devils
1
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 4:15 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 27, NJD 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0921028427
NJDNJD0611003119

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(10)
    N. Kucherov (62), B. Hagel (35)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:27
  2. TBL
    B. Point(30)
    N. Kucherov (63), V. Hedman (49)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:15
  3. NJD
    T. Toffoli(25)PPG
    J. Hughes (34), L. Hughes (21)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:01

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(22)
    B. Point (32), N. Kucherov (64)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:38
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(38)EN
    B. Hagel (36)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:25

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:05NJDAlexander Holtz · Trippingdrawn by Maxwell Crozier2 min
  • 6:36TBLNick Paul · Interferencedrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 16:49NJDLuke Hughes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:11TBLSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

3rd

  • 2:33TBLTyler Motte · Interferencedrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 5:25TBLEmil Lilleberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:24NJDSimon Nemec · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalTBL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 4:15 — TBL 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.19T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Halonen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 1.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNJD
3.93 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.93 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL67%33%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
19
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
9
25
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
11
13
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112+420.63160—25:47
38B. HagelL123+420.680005023:46
86N. KucherovR134+451.17100—21:27
21B. PointC112+340.510004519:51
81E. CernakD000+100.00100—18:48
71A. CirelliC000010.091103818:08
78E. LillebergD000020.06222—16:57
91S. StamkosC000010.2600210015:46
43D. RaddyshD000+110.04030—14:41
48N. PerbixD000+200.00020—14:21
41M. ChaffeeR000020.14210—14:12
23M. EyssimontC000020.0321010014:01
44C. de HaanD000000.00050—13:55
20N. PaulL000010.070025013:52
11L. GlendeningC000+100.001303313:26
64T. MotteC000010.11212012:24
73C. ShearyL000010.10000—10:59
65M. CrozierD000020.01200—10:52
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)19181.9471.62+0.6259:57

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).