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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

Final/OTTV BSSUN, MSGSN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime, Darren Raddysh scoring at 1:52. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 1:52 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 30, TBL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (1 G), 2. Luke Glendening (2 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    L. Glendening2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD1101101802330
TBLTBL26190411420

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:42
  2. TBL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:35
  3. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:22

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:34
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:54

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:53

Overtime

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:52

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:59TBLGage Goncalves · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 17:59TBLGage Goncalves · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 17:59NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min

2nd

  • 7:29NJDBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 17:59TBLBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 17:59NJDSimon Nemec · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:08NJDColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

3rd

  • 15:51NJDErik Haula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, OT 1:52 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.23N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.22B. Point · Goal · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.09B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.06G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.00A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
2.63 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD55%45%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
30
Shots on goal
20
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
30
7
Blocked shots
15
1
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88K. BahlD000+100.02200—23:37
91D. MercerC101040.4620010022:22
6J. MarinoD011010.01000—22:13
56E. HaulaL011020.181026721:32
24C. MillerD011020.07422—21:24
43L. HughesD000-120.08110—20:38
63J. BrattL101-170.79010—19:30
13N. HischierC000010.320104318:52
20M. McLeodC000-120.095106717:46
17S. NemecD000-110.05002—16:24
2B. SmithD000+100.01202—16:05
73T. ToffoliC011-110.02100015:17
42C. LazarC000-100.002007513:52
11C. TierneyC000-110.081003312:26
10A. HoltzR000-120.08000—10:09
14N. BastianR101+120.272025009:51
15S. BowersC000+100.00000007:58
46M. WillmanC000+120.07110007:40
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(O)20164.8002.26-1.7461:52

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).