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Calgary Flames at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG 2, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Cuylle's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 29, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Will Cuylle (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    W. Cuylle1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY06013010029
NYRNYR011110110231

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.29win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:31

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(12)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.74win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:41

Penalties

CGY 12 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:36CGYOliver Kylington · Interferencedrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 12:28NYRWill Cuylle · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 12:28CGYMartin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

2nd

  • 8:51NYRErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 8:51CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 8:51CGYMartin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 8:51NYRArtemi Panarin · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 8:51NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 9:10CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 13:01NYRKaapo Kakko · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 12:46CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCGY goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Will Cuylle, 2nd 12:31 — NYR 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.74W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.40W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.29C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.21K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.13K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 4.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYR
2.50 G
All situations
1 G4.4
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G3.4
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY33%67%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYR
29
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/3
12
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
30
19
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
11
0
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000-200.04220—26:08
4R. AnderssonD000-120.06020—21:54
8C. TanevD000010.01120—21:34
52M. WeegarD000020.13230—21:17
91N. KadriC000-140.541008020:17
20B. ColemanL000-150.34220—18:47
47C. ZaryC000020.21200018:27
11M. BacklundC000-110.180002717:58
10J. HuberdeauL000-110.06302—17:17
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.020201317:16
76M. PospisilC000000.118145015:21
88A. MangiapaneL000-130.15100—15:14
58O. KylingtonD000-120.13032—14:44
96A. KuzmenkoL000-120.22000—14:35
94B. PachalD000010.00014—13:18
21K. RooneyC000000.00310009:53
71W. DuehrR000020.29100—08:22
22J. PelletierL000000.00000—00:54
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)30291.9673.68+2.6858:44

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).