New York Rangers at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 14:09 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 68%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.0, CGY 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 20, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (2 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, .962), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).
Three stars
- ★F. Chytil2 A

- ★★I. Shesterkin25 saves, .962

- ★★★B. Coleman1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-11:15
2nd period
1-17:38
2-114:09
3-116:53
Penalties
2nd
- 0:52
served by W. Cuylle · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 6:06
Matt Coronato · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
- 8:37
Vincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min
- 12:18
Nikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
- 15:22
Vincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 15:47
MacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
- 19:35
Will Cuylle · Boardingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
3rd
- 18:24
Chris Tanev · Interference2 min
- 18:58
Blake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 14:09 — 48% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.0
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.01
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 15
- Hits
- 16
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 1
- Giveaways
- 8
- 2
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYR leads 2-0
3@
1this game
0@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
