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New York Rangers at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MSG, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 14:09 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 68%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.0, CGY 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 20, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (2 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, .962), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    F. Chytil2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR083606320
CGYCGY180909126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:15

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:38
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:09
  3. NYR
    pokexG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:53

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

2nd

  • 0:52NYRserved by W. Cuylle · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:06CGYMatt Coronato · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 8:37NYRVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min
  • 12:18CGYNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:22NYRVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:47CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 19:35NYRWill Cuylle · Boardingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 18:24CGYChris Tanev · Interference2 min
  • 18:58CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNYR goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 14:09 — NYR 48% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.21B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCGY
2.03 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR50%50%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCGY
20
Shots on goal
26
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
16
23
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000030.11340—22:33
23A. FoxD011-100.00010—22:16
16V. TrocheckC000020.200146219:39
93M. ZibanejadC000050.510002119:32
79K. MillerD011+100.00110—19:31
20C. KreiderL101020.14320—18:56
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00010—18:47
56E. GustafssonD112+110.19020—17:15
4B. SchneiderD000000.00230—15:21
10A. PanarinL011-100.24000—15:02
50W. CuylleL000010.09202—13:42
72F. ChytilC022020.170002913:40
13A. LafrenièreL101-120.23000—13:37
17B. WheelerR000000.0012010012:50
24K. KakkoR000000.00000—12:50
21B. GoodrowC000010.052006712:24
26J. VeseyL000+110.06110—12:16
12N. BoninoC000000.000504512:07
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)26251.9622.04+1.0459:48

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).