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Penguins at Coyotes
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Kerfoot's goal at 18:01 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 27, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.2 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Ingram (25 saves, .926), 3. Nick Bjugstad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Ingram25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    N. Bjugstad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT092909227
ARIARI1102828526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    J. Zucker(7)
    L. Cooley (18), J. Brown (3)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:23

2nd period

  1. PIT
    L. Eller(8)
    P. Joseph (3)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:50
  2. ARI
    J. Välimäki(1)
    C. Keller (23), M. Maccelli (24)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:04
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(27)
    E. Karlsson (26), E. Malkin (23)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:30
  4. ARI
    A. Kerfoot(7)
    J. Zucker (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:01

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(18)PPG
    Unassisted
    xG 0.74win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:10
  2. ARI
    N. Bjugstad(10)
    L. O'Brien (5), J. McBain (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:04

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:59ARILogan Cooley · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 5:42PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 13:34PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 14:29ARIAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

3rd

  • 2:58PITJansen Harkins · Hookingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 4:10ARIJason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalPIT goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Kerfoot, 2nd 18:01 — ARI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.74D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.28M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.24J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.18L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.14L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.12J. Välimäki · Goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.11L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.07M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI5 G · 3.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsARI
2.92 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.62 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT51%49%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsARI
27
Shots on goal
26
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000-120.01232—25:23
58K. LetangD000-110.00810—24:28
17B. RustR000020.33010—20:52
87S. CrosbyC101060.651005720:44
59J. GuentzelC000030.50010019:24
65E. KarlssonD011-220.20100—18:51
71E. MalkinC011030.120004018:05
27R. GravesD000-310.01130—18:03
73P. JosephD011+110.01212—16:02
20L. EllerC101-120.480006915:42
10D. O'ConnorL000000.0502010014:19
67R. RakellR000-210.12120—13:52
2C. RuhwedelD000+100.02100—13:42
55N. AcciariC000-120.372207513:34
77J. CarterC000-100.0110010011:25
36C. WhiteC000010.0311010011:22
43J. HarkinsC000-100.00102009:48
48V. PuustinenR000+100.00110—08:49
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)26224.8462.78-1.2259:35

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).