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Coyotes at Penguins
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 4:23 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 21, PIT 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (2 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (2 G), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Carter2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI2701004221
PITPIT214017212443

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(11)PPG
    S. Crosby (13), V. Puustinen (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:12
  2. ARI
    L. Crouse(13)PPG
    J. Zucker (5), J. Välimäki (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:20
  3. ARI
    M. Maccelli(5)PPG
    L. Crouse (6), N. Bjugstad (12)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:24
  4. PIT
    J. Carter(2)SHG
    D. O'Connor (5)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:54

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(3)PPG
    K. Letang (12), R. Smith (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:23
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(12)EN
    E. Malkin (13), M. Pettersson (6)
    backhandxG 0.88win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:37

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·PIT 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:48ARIMichael Kesselring · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 9:31PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 10:27ARILiam O'Brien · Interferencedrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 10:31PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 10:50ARINick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
  • 13:56PITTristan Jarry · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 15:47PITErik Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

2nd

  • 9:59PITJeff Carter · Boardingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

3rd

  • 2:25ARIMichael Kesselring · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Gruden2 min
  • 10:57PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 12:32ARIserved by J. Zucker · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalARI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 3rd 4:23 — PIT 54% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.88E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.47S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.37D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.31E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.29J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.22V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.18R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.18E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gruden · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 5.6 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsPIT
2.32 G
All situations
3 G5.6
1.40 G
Even strength
0 G2.8
0.92 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI27%73%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsPIT
21
Shots on goal
43
38%
Faceoffs
62%
2/5
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
12
22
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD000-210.05130—25:49
8N. SchmaltzC000-200.000406021:23
9C. KellerR000-240.46100—20:12
15A. KerfootC000-100.110103320:11
51T. StecherD000000.03130—19:04
4J. VälimäkiD011000.03110—18:58
24M. DumbaD000020.00210—18:47
67L. CrouseL112-120.136005018:22
17N. BjugstadC011-110.512024617:29
63M. MaccelliL101-130.24010—16:42
33T. DermottD000010.02210—16:35
92L. CooleyC000-100.27000016:34
16J. ZuckerL011030.251005016:29
5M. KesselringD000010.01104—12:15
53M. CarconeL000010.01000—11:48
38L. O'BrienC000010.111125010:10
12Z. SanfordL000000.00000—06:21
21M. KelemenL000010.07300—05:53
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)42393.9293.88+0.8858:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).