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Islanders at Wild
NHL

New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
0
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV BSN, MSGSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Islanders 5-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Dewar's goal at 2:18 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 21, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 G), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Fleury21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0100308021
MINMIN11222028540

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(7)PPG
    B. Faber (19), M. Boldy (13)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:11

2nd period

  1. MIN
    C. Dewar(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:18
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(16)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (22), M. Zuccarello (25)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:36

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(17)SHG
    M. Foligno (10), Z. Bogosian (5)
    snapxG 0.10Video
    0-4
    16:09
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(7)
    F. Gaudreau (7), J. Brodin (9)
    tip-inxG 0.12Video
    0-5
    19:03

Penalties

NYI 12 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:05NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 6:04MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 9:57NYINoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 18:41NYIKyle Palmieri · High stickingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 2:35MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 12:35NYIBo Horvat · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:57MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 19:37NYIKyle Palmieri · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 13:01MINKirill Kaprizov · High sticking double minordrawn by Alexander Romanov4 min
  • 13:09NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNYI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Dewar, 2nd 2:18 — MIN 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.16P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.11B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMIN
1.70 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI28%72%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-110.16122—21:21
24S. MayfieldD000000.02120—20:29
25S. AhoD000-210.04310—19:29
13M. BarzalC000-110.0111010019:24
14B. HorvatC000-110.160024719:18
29B. NelsonC000-230.391104019:15
44J. PageauC000-110.084006218:04
2M. ReillyD000-210.05200—17:50
3A. PelechD000010.03210—17:25
28A. RomanovD000000.01220—17:23
27A. LeeL000020.17504—15:28
18P. EngvallL000030.19000—14:54
21K. PalmieriC000-110.12004014:00
10S. HolmstromR000-200.11010—13:02
16J. GauthierR000-210.01200—12:01
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.05310—10:27
20H. FaschingR000020.0400010010:03
17M. MartinL000020.03100—10:00
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)32293.9062.25-0.7540:00
50K. Appleby862.7500.67-1.3320:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).