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Wild at Islanders
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV BSN, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 6:50 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 54% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 31, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Maroon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Oliver Wahlstrom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    P. Maroon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    O. Wahlstrom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN19112210431
NYINYI1611508229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    P. Maroon(2)
    J. Eriksson Ek (6), J. Middleton (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:19
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson(4)
    C. Cizikas (3), C. Clutterbuck (3)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:00

2nd period

  1. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(1)PPG
    P. Engvall (6), S. Aho (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:34
  2. MIN
    V. Lettieri(1)
    M. Boldy (5), B. Faber (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(4)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (10), M. Johansson (7)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:50
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(7)
    P. Maroon (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:32

Penalties

MIN 14 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:21MINMats Zuccarello · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 5:15NYICal Clutterbuck · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 11:13MINConnor Dewar · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 11:13NYIserved by O. Wahlstrom · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:09MINMatt Boldy · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 6:39MINConnor Dewar · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 9:38NYICal Clutterbuck · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:38MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 16:14MINCalen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

3rd

  • 2:59NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 6:03NYINoah Dobson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 15:20NYIScott Mayfield · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 17:32MINBrock Faber · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMIN goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 6:50 — MIN 54% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.46H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.20K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.19A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.14M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07O. Wahlstrom · Goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYI
2.84 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
20
22
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000+250.16150—24:30
7B. FaberD011+210.42322—23:08
14J. Eriksson EkC112+230.692104621:28
5J. MiddletonD011000.00330—20:53
6D. MermisD000010.01230—18:36
97K. KaprizovL101040.14000—17:13
23M. RossiC000000.100003316:45
90M. JohanssonL011020.0820010016:43
36M. ZuccarelloR011030.36022—16:32
12M. BoldyL011+120.16012—15:43
38R. HartmanR000+110.151125015:21
17M. FolignoL000+210.14310—13:32
10V. LettieriC101020.191008012:37
20P. MaroonL112+210.04200—12:30
2C. AddisonD000000.00002—11:34
48D. HuntD000010.00030—10:40
21B. DuhaimeL000-130.10200—09:46
26C. DewarC000-110.021045708:42
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)29272.9313.10+1.1059:52

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).