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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ALT, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinton Byfield's goal at 13:26 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.0 to 1.3; shots on goal were COL 21, LAK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Quinton Byfield (2 G), 2. Adrian Kempe (2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    Q. Byfield2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1601005121
LAKLAK0619323438

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:28

2nd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:03

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe (14), A. Kopitar (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +35 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:26
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:22
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:53

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:14LAKKevin Fiala · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 13:53LAKCarl Grundstrom · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

3rd

  • 3:13COLJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Quinton Byfield, 3rd 13:26 — LAK 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.52Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.50K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.49C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.15Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.10T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.10C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.05D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.00M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 4.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
1.31 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL19%81%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.29 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
21
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-320.04020—27:38
4B. ByramD000-110.01020—22:04
96M. RantanenR011-230.240104321:54
13V. NichushkinR000-200.00310—21:35
29N. MacKinnonC011-120.111105721:09
70S. MalinskiD000000.00120—18:09
42J. MansonD101020.10022—17:55
25L. O'ConnorR000030.25210—15:43
82C. JonesD000-100.00000—14:51
27J. DrouinL000-100.00200—14:34
20R. ColtonC000-110.150105014:07
3J. JohnsonD000010.01210—14:05
28M. WoodL000-120.060005014:01
12R. JohansenC000-100.000004013:51
11A. CoglianoC000010.120005013:08
22F. OlofssonL000-110.062103812:29
94J. KivirantaL000-110.10230—11:48
90T. TatarL000010.06100—10:31
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)37343.9193.000.0058:28

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).