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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Los Angeles Kings
2
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 4:59 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were COL 37, LAK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 3. Drew Doughty.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL19214214537
LAKLAK01121906236

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)
    M. Rantanen (1), J. Drouin (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:25

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(1)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (1), M. Rantanen (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:54
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(1)
    D. Toews (1), N. MacKinnon (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:47
  3. LAK
    C. Grundstrom(1)
    P. Danault (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:18
  4. LAK
    Q. Byfield(1)
    A. Kopitar (1)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:55

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    J. Johnson (1), C. Makar (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:59
  2. COL
    M. Wood(1)EN
    R. Colton (1), T. Tatar (1)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:08

Penalties

COL 19 PIM·LAK 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:45COLValeri Nichushkin · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 10:32LAKAlex Laferriere · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 11:36LAKAdrian Kempe · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 11:36COLCale Makar · Embellishment2 min
  • 12:49COLJonathan Drouin · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 2:24LAKCarl Grundstrom · Trippingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
  • 7:30COLCale Makar · Cross checkingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 10:54LAKMatt Roy · Roughingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
  • 10:54COLKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 10:54LAKPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Fredrik Olofsson2 min
  • 10:54LAKAlex Laferriere · Fightingdrawn by Logan O'Connor5 min
  • 10:54COLLogan O'Connor · Fightingdrawn by Alex Laferriere5 min

3rd

  • 2:25COLBowen Byram · Cross checkingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 5:25COLBowen Byram · Boardingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 3rd 4:59 — COL 73% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.18C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.17P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.07M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
3.84 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL49%51%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
37
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/5
19
Penalty minutes
15
25
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+200.06020—24:00
96M. RantanenR224+250.332005022:34
8C. MakarD112+350.18124—22:22
29N. MacKinnonC123+240.622004721:36
4B. ByramD000000.00344—20:29
49S. GirardD000010.01430—20:12
62A. LehkonenL000-130.48100—19:18
27J. DrouinL011+210.0800210017:17
13V. NichushkinR000-120.08102—17:07
42J. MansonD000-130.08350—16:15
12R. JohansenC000-130.371006715:39
20R. ColtonC011+130.071204013:43
3J. JohnsonD011010.01120—13:28
28M. WoodL101+141.29210—13:21
25L. O'ConnorR000010.10205—10:37
90T. TatarL011+100.00120—09:55
22F. OlofssonL000010.020002209:01
56K. MacDermidL000000.00002—03:06
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)36342.9442.79+0.7960:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).