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Senators at Islanders
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN5·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Dobson's goal at 6:45 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 47, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Ilya Sorokin stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cal Clutterbuck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Clutterbuck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT013218016247
NYINYI217010111338

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(3)PPG
    K. Palmieri (4), N. Dobson (5)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:41
  2. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(2)
    C. Cizikas (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:05

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(2)PPG
    T. Stützle (6), J. Norris (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:52
  2. OTT
    J. Chychrun(4)
    R. Chartier (1), P. Kelly (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:25

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(2)
    M. Barzal (4), B. Horvat (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:45

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·NYI 21 PIM

1st

  • 2:36OTTRourke Chartier · Interferencedrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 4:10NYISimon Holmstrom · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 6:37OTTMark Kastelic · Hookingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 17:01NYINoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 3:11OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 3:11NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 5:48OTTMathieu Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Bolduc2 min
  • 6:04NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 6:13NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 14:07NYIAlexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 17:30NYINoah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:00OTTRidly Greig · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 19:06NYIKyle Palmieri · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 20:00NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

3rd

  • 9:30OTTJake Sanderson · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalOTT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Dobson, 3rd 6:45 — NYI 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.37B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.35B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clutterbuck · Goal · xG 0.12N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYI
3.62 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT62%38%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYI
47
Shots on goal
38
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/8
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
21
14
Hits
26
21
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD101090.48120—28:12
85J. SandersonD000-130.14032—23:26
18T. StützleC011-140.453004423:14
72T. ChabotD000-230.10040—22:31
7B. TkachukL000-130.201004021:09
28C. GirouxR101-160.700004721:02
9J. NorrisC011010.281006719:43
91V. TarasenkoR000030.19010—18:39
19D. BathersonR000060.39210—18:27
23T. HamonicD000+120.07030—17:24
71R. GreigC000030.133123016:00
81D. KubalikL000020.30010—15:35
21M. JosephR000010.061125012:02
24J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00030—09:50
27P. KellyC011010.0510010008:11
26E. BrannstromD000000.00000—07:37
49R. ChartierC011000.000027506:12
12M. KastelicC000000.001176703:46
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)38353.9212.76-0.2458:55

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).