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Wild at Predators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Nashville Predators
▸4
Final/OTTV BSWIX, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Juuso Parssinen scoring at 2:44. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juuso Parssinen's goal at 2:44 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 24, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 31 (.871); Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juuso Parssinen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (21 saves, .875), 3. Mark Jankowski (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Parssinen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros21 saves, .875
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Jankowski1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN151811001324
NSHNSH2120111612431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Jankowski(7)SHG
    T. Barrie (42), M. McCarron (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:02
  2. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(18)
    J. Merrill (10), G. Nyquist (15)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:19
  3. NSH
    K. Sherwood(5)
    T. Novak (25), L. Evangelista (8)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:19

2nd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(19)
    M. Foligno (14), G. Nyquist (16)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:46

3rd period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(12)
    J. Parssinen (19), C. Sissons (17)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    14:04
  2. MIN
    N. Petan(1)
    S. Walker (1), D. Giroux (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    14:20

Overtime

  1. NSH
    J. Parssinen(6)
    R. McDonagh (18), C. Glass (21)
    between-legsxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:44

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:07NSHCal Foote · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 10:33MINJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 16:29MINDamien Giroux · High stickingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

2nd

  • 15:24MINJon Merrill · Slashingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMIN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Juuso Parssinen, OT 2:44 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.26L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.21C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.21M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.20J. Parssinen · Goal · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.16K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.12T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.11M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.08R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.06R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.05J. Livingstone · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01J. Livingstone · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 3.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNSH
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN24%76%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
8
20
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000-100.02120—24:25
24M. DumbaD000020.04240—20:57
26C. DewarC000-140.161107020:32
3J. KlingbergD000000.01010—19:39
5J. MiddletonD000000.00020—19:20
4J. MerrillD011010.02344—18:55
75R. ReavesR000-100.01110—18:25
7B. FaberD000+100.02030—18:19
28G. NyquistR022+130.52000—17:57
23M. RossiC000-210.101005017:31
17M. FolignoL011+210.08300—17:23
21B. DuhaimeL000030.42700—16:52
19N. PetanC101-240.151105014:44
68D. GirouxC011000.002124013:57
74S. WalkerC011-110.09000012:07
89F. GaudreauC202+130.290005511:28
2C. AddisonD000010.13100—10:08
72N. SwaneyR000000.00300—09:33
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)31274.8713.67-0.3362:44

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).