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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Nashville Predators 4-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 19:39 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 26, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.9 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH081929326
MINMIN013212210435

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Duhaime(5)
    F. Gaudreau (12)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:09
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(32)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (25), M. Zuccarello (36)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    1:37
  3. NSH
    T. Novak(7)
    K. Gravel (1), J. Lauzon (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(33)
    R. Hartman (11)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:23
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(15)
    M. Ekholm (13), T. Novak (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    15:04
  3. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(15)
    R. Josi (34), T. Novak (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:13
  4. MIN
    R. Hartman(7)
    J. Brodin (9), J. Spurgeon (16)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +46 pts
    3-4
    19:39

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:09MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 13:20NSHDante Fabbro · Trippingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 1:11NSHJeremy Lauzon · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 5:11NSHDante Fabbro · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

3rd

  • 4:14MINConnor Dewar · Holdingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 10:04NSHNino Niederreiter · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonas Brodin4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 3rd 19:39 — MIN 51% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.39K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.24J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.20J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.20M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.18A. Beckman · On goal · xG 0.15J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.10B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.10F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beckman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.08B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beckman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
1.83 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH27%73%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112050.35030—27:41
14M. EkholmD011000.00010—23:17
27R. McDonaghD000-210.04420—20:55
3J. LauzonD011000.00212—18:41
13Y. TreninC000-110.0101010017:22
95M. DucheneC000+140.3200010017:13
22N. NiederreiterR101+110.13114—16:32
10C. SissonsC000-110.071304616:31
92R. JohansenC000010.020006716:29
64M. GranlundC000030.21100016:22
84T. JeannotL000-110.02400—15:18
57D. FabbroD000020.03314—14:52
82T. NovakC123+220.300003314:08
75J. ParssinenC000010.09200012:54
8C. GlassC000030.181103311:29
36C. SmithR000+100.00430—11:28
26P. TomasinoR000000.03100—10:50
5K. GravelD011+100.00110—10:35
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)35314.8863.12-0.8858:57

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).