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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV BSSUNX, MSGSN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 5-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Jeannot's goal at 3:42 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 38, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 38 of 38 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (38 saves, 1.000), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 3. Darren Raddysh (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy38 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01002008038
TBLTBL11431216532

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:53

2nd period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:42
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    9:57
  3. TBL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    11:45

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(48)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    0-5
    13:26

Penalties

NYI 16 PIM·TBL 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:54NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 12:03TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 6:11TBLDarren Raddysh · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 12:23NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 12:23TBLCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min

3rd

  • 6:30TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 12:13NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 16:01TBLPatrick Maroon · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:01NYICal Clutterbuck · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot, 2nd 3:42 — TBL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.28B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.20S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.20A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.19A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.18T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.13A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.08N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.07E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
2.90 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.40 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
38
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
36
Hits
35
10
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
9
16
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000-100.01112—21:09
6R. PulockD000-350.25000—21:08
8N. DobsonD000-140.13210—20:48
28A. RomanovD000-120.08102—19:43
21K. PalmieriC000040.53120019:00
29B. NelsonC000010.311003818:49
3A. PelechD000-150.49120—17:58
14B. HorvatC000-110.271003817:25
18P. EngvallL000040.21200—17:05
4S. BolducD000-120.10300—16:40
11Z. PariseL000000.00120—15:26
27A. LeeL000-320.19100—15:02
44J. PageauC000-210.123003614:21
20H. FaschingR000-210.01110—13:35
53C. CizikasC000-110.056004312:44
10S. HolmstromR000-210.05000—12:24
17M. MartinL000-120.06412—11:41
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.017010—09:49
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)21174.8102.15-1.8531:45
40S. Varlamov11101.9091.21+0.2128:15

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).