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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, MSG·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 1:22 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 42, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 3. Kaapo Kakko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    F. Chytil1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Kakko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR03222217442
FLAFLA21209113334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:15
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:46

2nd period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:50
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    18:15

3rd period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:22
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    6:18
  3. FLA
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    7:00

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:29FLAEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 9:15NYRserved by P. Kane · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:41NYRPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 15:21FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

2nd

  • 4:13FLAMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 20:00FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 3rd 1:22 — NYR 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.29A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.23C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR57%43%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
42
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011+130.23320—24:23
23A. FoxD000+130.06010—24:10
79K. MillerD000010.05310—22:27
93M. ZibanejadC000-140.162205020:09
77N. MikkolaD000+200.14220—20:09
16V. TrocheckC000+140.271004719:14
88P. KaneR101+150.25112—18:20
10A. PanarinL000-120.2200010017:59
20C. KreiderL000040.2801010017:52
91V. TarasenkoR000-200.00010—15:18
13A. LafrenièreL112+310.10010—14:17
72F. ChytilC112+250.500103814:09
24K. KakkoR112+310.11000—11:57
21B. GoodrowC000-120.090402711:49
4B. SchneiderD000-100.00530—11:36
5B. HarpurD000-130.09200—11:19
14T. MotteC011-130.19130010:57
26J. VeseyL000-110.05000—10:14
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)34313.9122.46-0.5459:41

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).