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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, MSG·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 15:44 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 28, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G), 2. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1162725528
FLAFLA08213114335

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (33), A. Fox (29)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    14:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    10:30
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    13:57
  3. NYR
    K. Kakko (8), A. Fox (30)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    15:44
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    19:02

3rd period

  1. NYR
    pokexG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    1:38
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    2:53
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    5-3
    10:04

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:26FLAEric Staal · Hookingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 12:36NYRVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 13:40FLASam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jaroslav Halak2 min

2nd

  • 3:38FLAEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 7:23NYRSammy Blais · Elbowingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 11:23NYRArtemi Panarin · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 17:25NYRBen Harpur · Boardingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min

3rd

  • 1:16FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 15:44 — NYR 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.22M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.17B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
2.35 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR37%63%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
35
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-200.02320—23:49
23A. FoxD022+140.19020—23:31
8J. TroubaD000000.01330—22:51
93M. ZibanejadC202+240.370004819:10
16V. TrocheckC112020.210024718:53
55R. LindgrenD000+110.01100—18:49
20C. KreiderL112+280.860005018:37
24K. KakkoR022+220.11010—18:21
10A. PanarinL112+110.09502—17:39
21B. GoodrowC000-110.001201715:23
5B. HarpurD011+100.01112—14:09
26J. VeseyL000-110.08010—13:07
74V. KravtsovR000+110.01000—13:06
4B. SchneiderD011+100.00010—12:52
13A. LafrenièreL000-110.040105011:48
72F. ChytilC000010.071004311:37
91S. BlaisL000-100.18102—10:29
12J. GauthierR000-110.03000—08:12
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)35323.9143.07+0.0760:00

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).