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Wild at Coyotes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
4
Utah Mammoth
▸5
Final/OTTV BSAZ, BSN·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 4:09. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. The Wild led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 4:09 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 34, ARI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.4 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Barrett Hayton (2 G, 2 A), 3. Brett Ritchie (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Ritchie1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN2142120701434
ARIARI28161613523

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    B. Hayton(12)
    J. Välimäki (23), B. Ritchie (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:28
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(22)
    J. Middleton (11), J. Spurgeon (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:32
  3. ARI
    B. Hayton(13)PPG
    B. Ritchie (4), T. Boyd (15)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    12:00
  4. MIN
    R. Reaves(2)
    M. Shaw (8), C. Dewar (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:35

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(19)
    J. Klingberg (19)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:50
  2. MIN
    C. Dewar(6)
    M. Shaw (9), R. Reaves (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    14:59
  3. ARI
    B. Ritchie(8)
    C. Keller (40), V. Soderstrom (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    18:48

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(28)
    J. McBain (6), B. Hayton (19)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +35 pts
    4-4
    12:06

Overtime

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(29)
    B. Hayton (20), J. Välimäki (24)
    backhandxG 0.73win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    4:09

Penalties

MIN 24 PIM·ARI 28 PIM

1st

  • 2:59ARIBokondji Imama · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 2:59MINRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Bokondji Imama5 min
  • 4:28ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 4:28MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 11:36MINFrederick Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 13:34ARIVictor Soderstrom · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 4:31ARIConnor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Mason Shaw5 min
  • 4:31MINMason Shaw · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min
  • 8:28ARIMilos Kelemen · Holdingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min

3rd

  • 9:56ARIJack McBain · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:56ARILawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 9:56MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 10:06MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 15:08ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 4:09 — ARI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.73B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.20C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.18B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.11J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.07J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.07J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.07P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 2.6 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
2.94 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.54 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
34
Shots on goal
23
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/2
24
Penalty minutes
28
33
Hits
34
10
Blocked shots
24
8
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD011+160.41110—24:59
36M. ZuccarelloR101-130.26502—21:59
12M. BoldyL101020.43000—21:01
3J. KlingbergD011+120.07100—20:33
38R. HartmanR000030.122003620:16
24M. DumbaD000-220.14300—19:37
14J. Eriksson EkC000-100.004005819:07
5J. MiddletonD011+210.07115—18:28
90M. JohanssonL000-100.00000—18:13
33A. GoligoskiD000-220.04020—18:13
4J. MerrillD000+100.00140—16:30
13S. SteelC000+110.02200015:21
89F. GaudreauC000010.010123615:20
70O. SundqvistC000020.252005015:03
15M. ShawC022+120.15205013:17
26C. DewarC112+140.460105012:28
75R. ReavesR112+120.24505—10:51
17M. FolignoL000010.20405—08:47
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)23185.7832.56-2.4464:09

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).