Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 9:39 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 57% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 28, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (27 saves, .964), 2. Jared Spurgeon, 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Fleury27 saves, .964

- ★★J. Spurgeon

- ★★★F. Gaudreau1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-19:39
0-210:30
3rd period
1-25:42
Penalties
2nd
- 4:36
Jake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 7:45
Clayton Keller · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
- 8:28
Jack McBain · Roughingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 9:39 — 57% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 25
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 6
- Giveaways
- 7
- 3
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
3@
4Final
1@
2this game
2@
3Final
4@
5OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
