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Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV NBCSWA, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikey Anderson's goal at 7:52 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 5.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 22, LAK 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Pheonix Copley stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (2 A), 2. Phillip Danault (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0311019222
LAKLAK019211211441

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    S. Milano (18), D. Strome (30)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:39
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.37win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:18
  3. LAK
    V. Arvidsson (26), M. Roy (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:27

3rd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    2:31
  2. LAK
    Q. Byfield (14), A. Kempe (19)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    7:52
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(30)EN
    wristxG 0.68win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:07WSHRasmus Sandin · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 19:52WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

2nd

  • 0:06LAKKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:37WSHCraig Smith · Slashingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 14:03LAKSean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 19:30WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

3rd

  • 0:45LAKGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 1:15LAKViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 10:34WSHSonny Milano · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 11:17LAKMatt Roy · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalWSH goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Mikey Anderson, 3rd 7:52 — LAK 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.68V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.37P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.25M. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.24G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.24G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.21A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.17P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.12D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.12M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.12B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.11M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 5.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsLAK
2.72 G
All situations
3 G5.2
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G4.1
1.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH25%75%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 4.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsLAK
22
Shots on goal
41
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. van RiemsdykD000+120.04130—25:33
38R. SandinD112010.23302—25:06
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.04210—20:39
92E. KuznetsovC000-320.350121419:06
43T. WilsonR000-330.551102518:27
8A. OvechkinL101-340.65000—17:47
77T. OshieR000000.243005017:44
17D. StromeC011030.321006717:10
6V. IorioD000-120.03210—15:57
19N. BackstromC011-100.001003315:43
52M. IrwinD000-210.01120—14:27
39A. ManthaR000010.02100—13:42
73C. ShearyL000010.04000—13:13
26N. DowdC000000.101026412:34
15S. MilanoL011010.02002—12:02
18G. CarlssonD000-200.00100—11:35
96N. Aube-KubelR000000.00210—10:54
16C. SmithC000-100.05012010:21
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)40373.9254.48+1.4858:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).