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Kings at Capitals
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 14:35 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 26, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (1 G), 2. Dmitry Orlov (3 A), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    M. Johansson1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0528113326
WSHWSH0807417432

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    S. Durzi(1)
    V. Arvidsson (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:26
  2. LAK
    P. Danault(3)
    V. Arvidsson (2), T. Moore (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    15:23

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(2)
    N. Jensen (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:11
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(2)
    E. Kuznetsov (5), D. Orlov (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:10
  3. WSH
    L. Eller(2)
    D. Orlov (3), J. Carlson (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:59
  4. LAK
    V. Arvidsson(1)
    T. Moore (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    10:31
  5. WSH
    M. Johansson(2)
    D. Orlov (4), T. Oshie (3)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +37 pts
    3-4
    14:35

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:38LAKAnze Kopitar · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 3:02LAKKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 12:57LAKAdrian Kempe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:48WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalLAK goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 3rd 14:35 — WSH 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.19T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.17D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.16T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.13D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snively · Missed · xG 0.09A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01J. Snively · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Snively · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsWSH
1.93 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK33%67%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
32
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+110.03110—28:31
44M. AndersonD000+110.12210—22:58
11A. KopitarC000-210.010226820:57
50S. DurziD101030.27130—20:36
3M. RoyD000030.20020—18:54
22K. FialaL000-210.04012—18:33
9A. KempeR000-110.34102—17:58
24P. DanaultC101+330.150105015:53
12T. MooreL022+320.04010—15:10
91C. GrundstromR000-130.06300—14:02
33V. ArvidssonL123+320.1500010014:00
46B. LizotteC000010.042206713:58
92B. ClarkeD000-200.13020—13:43
13G. VilardiC000-210.12000013:32
2A. EdlerD000-210.01320—12:47
48B. LemieuxL000-100.00200—12:22
55Q. ByfieldR000-210.131007111:34
34A. KaliyevR000-110.02000—11:08
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)32284.8752.79-1.2157:24

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).