Skip to content

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 19:50 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 32, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (31 saves, .969), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT03116013132
FLAFLA113218111442

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:38

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(10)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:11
  2. PIT
    K. Letang(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    8:51
  3. FLA
    pokexG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:50

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:53

Penalties

PIT 32 PIM·FLA 32 PIM

1st

  • 5:43FLAAleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:53PITDanton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 2:50PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 7:30FLAAnthony Duclair · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 8:00FLAEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 10:33PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 12:52FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

3rd

  • 10:11PITJason Zucker · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 11:27PITBryan Rust · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 11:27FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 13:58FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58PITJosh Archibald · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:10PITDrew O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 15:57FLAAleksander Barkov · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 15:57PITMarcus Pettersson · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:57FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 2nd 19:50 — FLA 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.27C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.22S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.19C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.17A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 4.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
2.41 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 4.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
42
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/5
Power play
1/5
32
Penalty minutes
32
14
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-200.00130—23:42
58K. LetangD101-130.22012—23:21
8B. DumoulinD000-120.06210—20:52
67R. RakellR000-220.17100—19:23
59J. GuentzelC011-140.37010019:18
87S. CrosbyC000-150.280006719:13
28M. PetterssonD000-210.024110—18:04
17B. RustR000020.34112—17:39
71E. MalkinC011-130.460126317:29
64M. GranlundC000-100.010006017:03
44J. RuttaD000000.00010—15:06
16J. ZuckerL000-120.13002—14:11
77J. CarterC000-120.070005713:30
73P. JosephD000020.06200—11:54
13N. BoninoC000010.041204511:52
43D. HeinenL000-120.16002—11:21
10D. O'ConnorL000000.00112—09:03
15J. ArchibaldR000010.031010—07:52
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)42384.9054.14+0.1459:46

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).