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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Panthers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 4:17 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 28% to 44%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were PIT 39, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Lomberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT010212217439
FLAFLA11101815234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    R. Lomberg(4)
    E. Staal (5), B. Montour (18)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:30

2nd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(2)SHG
    B. Rust (12), R. Poehling (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:17
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(14)PPG
    E. Malkin (21), K. Letang (12)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    12:42

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(10)PPG
    S. Crosby (22), R. Rakell (8)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    8:05
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)
    C. Verhaeghe (10)
    slapxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    10:14
  3. PIT
    J. Guentzel(15)EN
    S. Crosby (23), B. McGinn (5)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:42

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:20FLAEric Staal · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

2nd

  • 3:21PITJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 11:52FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 19:04PITJan Rutta · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 7:51FLAAaron Ekblad · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:57PITDanton Heinen · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, 2nd 4:17 — PIT 28% → 44%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.24Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.19A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.11N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.00A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
3.93 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT58%42%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
4
12
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD112+130.18110—25:44
28M. PetterssonD000+120.10000—22:58
59J. GuentzelC202081.17000020:54
8B. DumoulinD000000.00010—19:35
87S. CrosbyC022050.450005019:09
67R. RakellR011-140.52100—18:48
17B. RustR011+120.39020—17:52
44J. RuttaD000-100.02124—17:20
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.00110—17:09
73P. JosephD000000.02000—15:14
71E. MalkinC112010.182004614:42
43D. HeinenL000010.01002—14:13
23B. McGinnL011030.15010—13:52
53T. BluegerC000020.340005513:08
77J. CarterC000-120.101106413:06
25R. PoehlingC011+120.042006711:58
15J. ArchibaldR000020.04300—09:40
42K. KapanenR000-120.17000—08:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)34322.9412.80+0.8059:57

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).