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Coyotes at Stars
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV BSAZX, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Stars came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miro Heiskanen's goal at 4:38 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 5.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were ARI 20, DAL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G), 3. Juuso Välimäki (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Välimäki2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI250906220
DALDAL111116214441

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    B. Hayton(10)
    J. Välimäki (19), J. Moser (17)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:28
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(25)PPG
    J. Välimäki (20), N. Schmaltz (24)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    13:47
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(26)
    J. Robertson (39)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:43

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(16)PPG
    E. Dadonov (15), W. Johnston (13)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    1:50

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(8)
    C. Miller (11), T. Seguin (23)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:38
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(17)SHG
    R. Faksa (6)
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    16:12

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:46ARILiam O'Brien · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 6:06DALMason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 12:43DALMason Marchment · Interferencedrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 14:11DALColin Miller · High stickingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

2nd

  • 0:11ARIBarrett Hayton · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 4:48ARIVictor Soderstrom · Interferencedrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

3rd

  • 5:35ARIJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 8:29DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 15:51DALColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalARI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen, 3rd 4:38 — DAL 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.63T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.40R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.39E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.34W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.25T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.23R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.18J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.17J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.15R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.15W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.12W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.10W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08F. Karlstrom · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05F. Karlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02F. Karlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 5.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsDAL
1.72 G
All situations
4 G5.7
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI10%90%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 4.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsDAL
20
Shots on goal
41
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR101-210.05100—24:56
4J. VälimäkiD022-210.06122—23:46
90J. MoserD011+120.05110—22:13
29B. HaytonC101-150.560024221:56
51T. StecherD000-220.11000—20:29
67L. CrouseL000000.14100—20:02
2P. NemethD000000.03030—19:49
72T. BoydC000-210.061301419:27
63M. MaccelliL000-100.00100—18:25
36C. FischerR000-110.05010—14:36
12N. RitchieL000030.20600—14:09
22J. McBainC000010.233104313:58
77V. SoderstromD000010.01112—12:33
92V. KolyachonokD000000.00100—11:18
38L. O'BrienC000010.02302009:40
8N. SchmaltzC011000.00010009:22
44Z. KassianR000000.00000—09:13
26L. DauphinC000010.110005009:03
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)41374.9024.88+0.8857:26

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).