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Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, BSSW·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 7-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 3:54 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 36, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Karel Vejmelka stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (2 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Roope Hintz (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL412114210736
ARIARI05013212230

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:27
  2. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:54
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    11:18
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    18:30

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (6), R. Hintz (9)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    15:14

3rd period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13
    6-0
    0:27
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.04
    6-1
    5:07
  3. ARI
    snapxG 0.21
    6-2
    9:06
  4. DAL
    snapxG 0.09
    7-2
    15:45

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:58ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 8:59ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 18:41DALTyler Seguin · Cross checkingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min

2nd

  • 14:21ARIJack McBain · Cross checkingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 16:32ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalDAL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, 1st 3:54 — DAL 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.27S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.24L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.21B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.14J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.12S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsARI
2.97 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.96 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsARI
36
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
37
12
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
17
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011020.04030—22:54
2J. HakanpääD101+410.09110—19:32
23E. LindellD011+420.04110—18:50
6C. MillerD011000.00000—18:49
20R. SuterD000020.03200—18:46
5N. LundkvistD000020.10200—18:01
27M. MarchmentL011+120.16010—16:39
91T. SeguinC011+120.140025516:23
21J. RobertsonL202+130.40000—16:15
34D. GurianovR101+140.16110—16:02
16J. PavelskiC011+220.292005015:40
11L. GlendeningC000-110.280105015:33
24R. HintzC022+120.101105015:16
25J. KivirantaL000010.03200—14:55
12R. FaksaC000-110.001105614:49
14J. BennL123+250.530103813:44
53W. JohnstonC101+210.16000013:20
10T. DellandreaC101+330.360106012:37
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)30282.9332.25+0.2559:55

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).