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Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

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Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
3
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Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Robinson's goal at 11:53 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 3.7, BUF 3.8; shots on goal were CBJ 36, BUF 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Robinson (3 G), 2. Jack Quinn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Robinson3 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ21521318536
BUFBUF116011214341

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    K. Johnson(13)PPG
    N. Blankenburg (6), E. Merzlikins (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(41)
    J. Skinner (35), J. Quinn (17)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:11
  3. CBJ
    E. Robinson(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    13:41

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    E. Robinson(7)
    S. Kuraly (7), P. Laine (22)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    11:53
  2. CBJ
    B. Jenner(19)
    N. Blankenburg (7), A. Peeke (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    19:42

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(11)
    M. Samuelsson (7)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    5:02
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(8)PPG
    O. Power (19), P. Krebs (10)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    9:46
  3. CBJ
    E. Robinson(8)EN
    B. Jenner (17)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:25

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:24BUFDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min

2nd

  • 0:09CBJJack Roslovic · Holdingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

3rd

  • 8:20CBJserved by K. Marchenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:02CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Eric Robinson, 2nd 11:53 — CBJ 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.18J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.18J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.17J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.14J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.14T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.12J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.08J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
3.74 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ42%58%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 3.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
36
Shots on goal
41
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
10
14
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. PeekeD011+120.02250—27:09
44E. GudbransonD000+110.04230—24:24
77N. BlankenburgD022020.04110—18:53
38B. JennerC112+130.383006517:53
96J. RoslovicC000010.011124617:47
50E. RobinsonL303+261.23300—17:28
29P. LaineL011000.55100—17:02
75T. BerniD000-110.01110—16:38
91K. JohnsonC101050.36000016:37
15G. BayreutherD000+130.03210—16:21
27A. BoqvistD000+210.03000—15:16
7S. KuralyC011+220.043123313:46
86K. MarchenkoR000010.01010—13:34
13J. GaudreauL000010.12000—13:26
19L. FoudyC000030.10000013:17
34C. SillingerC000010.172005013:04
52E. BemstromC000010.04000012:08
24M. OlivierR000+120.53400—09:51
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)41383.9273.82+0.8260:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).