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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸9
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
FinalNationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 9-4. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 9-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 5:32 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 30, CBJ 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 0.7 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 15 of 21 (.714), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (5 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Tuch (1 G, 3 A), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson5 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF61431204930
CBJCBJ0521227424

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    D. Cozens(10)PPG
    R. Dahlin (22), T. Thompson (19)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:21
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(17)
    A. Tuch (13)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:32
  3. BUF
    R. Dahlin(9)
    D. Cozens (16), J. Quinn (9)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    7:28
  4. BUF
    T. Thompson(18)
    A. Tuch (14), J. Skinner (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    4-0
    7:50
  5. BUF
    T. Thompson(19)PPG
    J. Skinner (17), D. Cozens (17)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    5-0
    12:22
  6. BUF
    T. Thompson(20)PPG
    J. Skinner (18), R. Dahlin (23)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    6-0
    16:40

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    P. Laine(5)
    J. Roslovic (8)
    snapxG 0.05
    6-1
    10:49
  2. CBJ
    G. Nyquist(5)
    J. Gaudreau (19), B. Jenner (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    12:04
  3. BUF
    T. Thompson(21)
    A. Tuch (15), J. Bryson (6)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    7-2
    16:07
  4. BUF
    P. Krebs(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24
    8-2
    17:19
  5. BUF
    A. Tuch(13)
    J. Skinner (19), J. Bryson (7)
    wristxG 0.04
    9-2
    19:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    P. Laine(6)
    V. Gavrikov (5), E. Chinakhov (8)
    slapxG 0.12
    9-3
    4:47
  2. CBJ
    G. Nyquist(6)
    M. Bjork (4)
    snapxG 0.07
    9-4
    15:49

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CBJ 22 PIM

1st

  • 2:28CBJEric Robinson · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
  • 10:09CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 10:09CBJSean Kuraly · Roughingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 14:54CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 15:58CBJJack Roslovic · Hookingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 17:13BUFJJ Peterka · Holding the stickdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 17:13CBJSean Kuraly · Roughingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 17:13BUFOwen Power · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

2nd

  • 1:15BUFOwen Power · Ps throwing object at puck0 min

3rd

  • 8:11CBJSean Kuraly · Misconductdrawn by Dylan Cozens10 min
  • 8:11BUFDylan Cozens · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 1st 5:32 — BUF 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.31M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.28K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.24S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.20P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.18M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.16J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.12E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.11P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.09K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.07G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00M. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
2.19 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.66 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.63 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF30%70%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
30
Shots on goal
24
40%
Faceoffs
60%
3/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
22
8
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10H. JokiharjuD000+310.02110—23:56
25O. PowerD000+410.03012—23:54
22J. QuinnR011030.231005018:51
26R. DahlinD123020.15010—18:48
23M. SamuelssonD000020.02100—18:11
24D. CozensC123-110.040124717:21
77J. PeterkaR000010.07102—16:55
78J. BrysonD022-100.00020—16:09
21K. OkposoR000000.001201715:37
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.02200015:18
37C. MittelstadtC000-230.290001714:54
19P. KrebsC101+120.251004214:12
17T. JostC000-100.000105014:04
72T. ThompsonC516+390.790004013:56
20L. PilutD000-210.01000—13:52
71V. OlofssonL000-200.13010—13:51
89A. TuchR134+430.05000—13:19
53J. SkinnerL044+410.0500010012:52
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)24204.8333.26-0.7460:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).