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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 19:42 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.6, ANA 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 26, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.6 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (3 A), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1811404226
ANAANA28113112433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    M. Domi (30), T. Raddysh (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:35
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:18
  3. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:14

2nd period

  1. CHI
    M. Domi (31), T. Johnson (13)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    13:11
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    19:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    8:15

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:58ANATrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 4:29ANASimon Benoit · Hookingdrawn by Cole Guttman2 min
  • 10:03CHIIan Mitchell · Holdingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 10:49ANATroy Terry · Interferencedrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
  • 18:39CHIDavid Gust · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 2:49CHIBoris Katchouk · Interferencedrawn by Derek Grant2 min
  • 12:28ANASimon Benoit · High stickingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min

3rd

  • 12:10CHITyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 13:41CHIJarred Tinordi · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCHI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Max Jones, 2nd 19:42 — ANA 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.15D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.12R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.10S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.08J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsANA
2.62 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI54%46%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsANA
26
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-110.10210—27:43
82C. JonesD000-110.05130—20:35
90T. JohnsonC112-130.24102019:45
5C. MurphyD000-200.00200—18:13
89A. AthanasiouC101-220.32000017:57
11T. RaddyshR011000.00100—17:30
28A. EnglundD000040.07120—17:05
13M. DomiC022-140.390004117:03
17J. DickinsonC000020.220208316:51
25J. TinordiD000-210.07112—16:32
51I. MitchellD000010.01122—15:40
16J. KhairaL000-200.141203015:25
70C. GuttmanC000010.160103315:09
14B. KatchoukL000010.20002—13:58
62B. SeneyL000-110.0310010013:53
37D. GustR000040.58012—12:23
15J. AndersonR000-200.00000—11:17
43C. BlackwellC000000.07000005:52
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)33294.8792.40-1.6058:34

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).