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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jarred Tinordi's goal at 17:18 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 22, ANA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jarred Tinordi (2 G), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Domi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Tinordi2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    M. Domi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1511116322
ANAANA21901309241

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:19
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:13
  3. CHI
    M. Domi (5), P. Kane (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:55

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (10), M. Domi (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    4:04

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +45 pts
    3-2
    17:18

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:49ANAPavol Regenda · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 14:00CHIBoris Katchouk · High sticking double minordrawn by Troy Terry4 min

3rd

  • 16:56ANAPavol Regenda · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 16:56ANARyan Strome · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 16:56CHIJonathan Toews · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 16:56CHITaylor Raddysh · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCHI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jarred Tinordi, 3rd 17:18 — CHI 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.19T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.18A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.16C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.16P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.16T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.15P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.10P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07G. Gawdin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsANA
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI28%72%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsANA
22
Shots on goal
41
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/1
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
7
12
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000+100.00430—24:29
25J. TinordiD202+120.22510—22:02
23P. KurashevC000+120.23100019:51
88P. KaneR022+140.73000—19:19
6J. McCabeD000010.02230—18:58
13M. DomiC022+120.800105318:37
8J. JohnsonD000-120.04320—18:20
48F. RoosD101+120.30110—16:58
82C. JonesD000010.04100—16:55
19J. ToewsC000000.000027116:43
11T. RaddyshR000000.00102—14:43
89A. AthanasiouC000010.09100014:32
16J. KhairaL000010.001106713:51
24S. LaffertyC000000.011006413:38
43C. BlackwellC000020.20110013:04
52R. JohnsonC000010.0352010011:45
58M. EntwistleR000010.1220010011:29
14B. KatchoukL000000.00104—10:46
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(W)41392.9513.11+1.1160:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).