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Predators at Sharks
NHL

Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸6
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 13:34 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.6, SJS 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 31, SJS 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (3 A), 3. Philip Tomasino (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Granlund2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene3 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Tomasino2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1831429631
SJSSJS0411119224

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(17)PPG
    M. Granlund (25), M. Duchene (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    6:24

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(8)
    P. Tomasino (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    1:28
  2. SJS
    N. Sturm(12)SHG
    S. Lorentz (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    8:37
  3. NSH
    M. Granlund(9)
    P. Tomasino (3), C. Glass (14)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:34
  4. NSH
    Y. Trenin(8)SHG
    C. Smith (10)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    19:31

3rd period

  1. SJS
    M. Kaut(2)
    T. Hertl (33), M. Eyssimont (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    0:50
  2. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(18)
    M. Duchene (28), T. Novak (11)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    10:48
  3. NSH
    T. Novak(8)PPG
    M. Duchene (29), R. Josi (36)
    tip-inxG 0.13
    6-2
    14:00

Penalties

NSH 12 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:57SJSAlexander Barabanov · Trippingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 8:45NSHCody Glass · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

2nd

  • 8:05SJSErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 18:05NSHKevin Gravel · Interferencedrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

3rd

  • 4:02NSHTanner Jeannot · Boardingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min
  • 8:17NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 13:13SJSMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 17:10SJSMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 17:10NSHNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 19:12NSHRyan McDonagh · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 2nd 13:34 — NSH 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.20E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.14M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.14M. Kaut · Goal · xG 0.12E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.10L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.02S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
2.66 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.51 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011030.11020—24:37
27R. McDonaghD000+100.03042—24:10
14M. EkholmD000+130.03132—21:04
95M. DucheneC033030.400006020:12
3J. LauzonD000-130.05310—19:05
82T. NovakC112-110.200002718:39
22N. NiederreiterR202020.06112—18:37
10C. SissonsC000020.172203218:25
57D. FabbroD000+300.03030—16:22
64M. GranlundC213+160.450108615:48
13Y. TreninC101+110.2621010015:27
84T. JeannotL000-100.00102—14:41
36C. SmithR011000.15100—12:15
5K. GravelD000+110.00012—12:03
8C. GlassC011+200.002023811:48
26P. TomasinoR022+220.22110—10:20
44K. SherwoodL000030.18400—10:17
75J. ParssinenC000010.3000010005:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)24222.9172.52+0.5260:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).