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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCA·O2 Czech Republic

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eeli Tolvanen's goal at 1:24 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 31, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. James Reimer stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Sherwood1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1130909131
NSHNSH11121516432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Sherwood(1)
    M. Ekholm (1), R. McDonagh (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:01
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(1)
    T. Meier (1), L. Kunin (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:36

2nd period

  1. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(1)
    C. Smith (1), C. Glass (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:24
  2. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(1)
    D. Fabbro (1), K. Sherwood (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:14

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(1)EN
    M. Granlund (1), F. Forsberg (1)
    wristxG 0.79
    1-4
    19:28

Penalties

SJS 13 PIM·NSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:30NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 9:11NSHRoman Josi · High stickingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min

2nd

  • 2:07NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 2:07SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 2:33NSHKiefer Sherwood · Delaying game2 min
  • 11:00SJSMatt Benning · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:53SJSLuke Kunin · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 2:57NSHMikael Granlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 5:18SJSJonah Gadjovich · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 9:27SJSMatt Nieto · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Eeli Tolvanen, 2nd 1:24 — NSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.79R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.24M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.22T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.17K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.14R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.12R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.07C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.41 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS39%61%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
22
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000010.09120—26:10
38M. FerraroD000-120.08160—24:15
11L. KuninC011010.14322021:23
48T. HertlC101020.161005221:01
28T. MeierR011050.31200—20:52
44M. VlasicD000-110.08000—20:00
39L. CoutureC000-220.242105517:43
13N. BoninoC000-140.360106316:27
62K. LabancR000-340.46010—16:22
4S. HarringtonD000000.01120—16:10
5M. BenningD000-220.03412—14:56
51R. SimekD000-220.05120—14:39
73N. GregorL000-110.03020—12:20
7N. SturmC000000.030107811:19
16S. LorentzC000020.13210011:00
83M. NietoL000-100.03002—10:34
23O. LindblomL000-220.16210—09:18
42J. GadjovichL000000.00207—08:49
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)31283.9033.07+0.0758:42

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).