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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSW, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 0:13 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 34, MIN 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (33 saves, .971), 3. Jared Spurgeon.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK010014110134
MINMIN0101416220

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:13

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-2
    15:12
  2. LAK
    S. Durzi (24), A. Kempe (17)
    batxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    1-2
    19:39

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:32LAKSean Durzi · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 12:14MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 13:29LAKKevin Fiala · Interferencedrawn by Mason Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 13:28LAKGabriel Vilardi · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 2nd 0:13 — MIN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.14R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beckman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beckman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 1.4 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
2.61 G
All situations
2 G1.4
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK72%28%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 1.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
20
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
22
1
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+130.10100—26:09
44M. AndersonD000030.19310—23:27
3M. RoyD000-150.30110—22:07
11A. KopitarC101+130.320406120:53
50S. DurziD011000.02102—20:38
9A. KempeR011+130.26100—19:32
33V. ArvidssonL000040.32000—18:09
22K. FialaL000-130.31112—17:48
24P. DanaultC000-120.151005716:55
13G. VilardiC000010.06102016:24
26S. WalkerD000-110.11020—13:35
46B. LizotteC000-110.061205513:34
12T. MooreL000030.2110010013:32
19A. IafalloL000-100.00000—13:14
2A. EdlerD000-100.02220—12:55
55Q. ByfieldR000020.16000—09:43
34A. KaliyevR000000.00100—08:51
89R. KupariC000000.0000010008:49
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29P. Copley(L)20182.9001.45-0.5557:41

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).