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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 1-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 13:57 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were MIN 21, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    G. Vilardi1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN030909021
LAKLAK01009111130

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +36 pts
    0-1
    13:57

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:23MINMats Zuccarello · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 16:14MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

2nd

  • 11:57MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 14:48MINKirill Kaprizov · Match penaltydrawn by Drew Doughty5 min
  • 19:56LAKBrendan Lemieux · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 3rd 13:57 — LAK 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.30A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.07T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
1.20 G
All situations
1 G2.7
0.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN22%78%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.17 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
21
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/4
21
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-100.00150—25:12
46J. SpurgeonD000010.08330—23:12
24M. DumbaD000-120.09142—22:20
12M. BoldyL000040.2020010021:45
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.0710410021:38
14J. Eriksson EkC000-110.054104221:02
89F. GaudreauC000010.110002919:44
5J. MiddletonD000000.05230—17:46
2C. AddisonD000020.06000—15:37
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00120—14:38
4J. MerrillD000000.04320—14:33
58M. ShawC000020.01300014:05
26C. DewarC000020.032106713:13
23M. RossiC000010.090003312:05
97K. KaprizovL000030.270015—10:26
10T. JostC000000.01200008:49
13S. SteelC000-100.004105008:40
56J. CramarossaC000000.01200006:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)30291.9672.70+1.7058:07

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).