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Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
5
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Final/OTTV SN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5 in overtime, Mikko Rantanen scoring at 4:38. The Avalanche came back from three goals down. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 4:38 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.4 to 3.2; shots on goal were EDM 40, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 2.8 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G, 3 A), 3. Warren Foegele (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    W. Foegele2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM11131411203540
COLCOL0152931117642

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(8)
    M. Janmark (12), R. McLeod (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:08

2nd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(9)
    D. Nurse (22), C. Ceci (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:14
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(33)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (42), Z. Hyman (40)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    7:37
  3. COL
    J. Compher(11)
    N. MacKinnon (47), S. Girard (18)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    8:34
  4. COL
    V. Nichushkin(10)
    N. MacKinnon (48)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:48
  5. EDM
    T. Barrie(9)
    D. Shore (4), J. Puljujarvi (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    17:42

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(19)
    J. Manson (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    0:26
  2. EDM
    M. Janmark(5)
    C. McDavid (60), C. Ceci (8)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    3:58
  3. COL
    L. O'Connor(7)
    B. Byram (7), J. Compher (25)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    5-4
    9:30
  4. COL
    A. Lehkonen(17)
    J. Compher (26), S. Girard (19)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +40 pts
    5-5
    15:48

Overtime

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(36)
    D. Toews (27), J. Compher (27)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    5-6
    4:38

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:13EDMWarren Foegele · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 6:24EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 18:00EDMBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

2nd

  • 5:22EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:25COLAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, OT 4:38 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.19D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.17D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.14L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
3.45 G
All situations
6 G3.2
3.35 G
Even strength
6 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM56%44%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
40
Shots on goal
42
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
22
2
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011050.19010—25:55
29L. DraisaitlC101-140.303005025:04
97C. McDavidC011-240.632004824:45
5C. CeciD022-120.02630—24:10
18Z. HymanL011-320.14210—20:30
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-220.20002020:28
2E. BouchardD000-130.16510—20:06
26M. JanmarkC112+320.1100010018:38
27B. KulakD000+110.05232—18:23
86P. BrobergD000-110.01220—18:05
22T. BarrieD101+130.15100—16:55
71R. McLeodC011+100.000103816:43
56K. YamamotoR000-130.64010—15:33
37W. FoegeleL202+130.39114—13:35
10D. RyanC000020.240105011:48
13J. PuljujarviR011+120.04200—08:15
14D. ShoreC011+110.151006007:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(O)42366.8573.17-2.8364:09

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).