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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
2
Final/OTTV ALT, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Cale Makar scoring at 2:09. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.6 to 3.8; shots on goal were COL 46, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 43 of 46 (.935), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G), 3. Stuart Skinner (43 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner43 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL01501121812346
EDMEDM1711201001230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(19)PPG
    C. McDavid (43), L. Draisaitl (39)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    15:37

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(20)PPG
    T. Barrie (24), L. Draisaitl (40)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:03

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(10)
    C. Makar (27), E. Rodrigues (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:06
  2. COL
    B. Hunt(1)
    E. Rodrigues (9), S. Girard (6)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    8:19

Overtime

  1. COL
    C. Makar(10)
    N. MacKinnon (28), A. Georgiev (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:09

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:27COLMartin Kaut · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 9:34EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 14:47COLAlex Newhook · Interferencedrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 16:36EDMZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 13:09COLSamuel Girard · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Stuart Skinner2 min
  • 15:03COLserved by M. Kaut · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:50COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:43EDMKlim Kostin · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 7:27COLDevon Toews · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 7:27EDMZach Hyman · Embellishment2 min
  • 13:11EDMLeon Draisaitl · Elbowingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, OT 2:09 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.53Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.34Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.26K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.22Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.17B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
4.63 G
All situations
2 G3.8
3.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.20 G
Power play
2 G2.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL62%38%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.55 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
46
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD112+320.34000—33:09
7D. ToewsD000030.21432—29:22
29N. MacKinnonC112+2111.070102523:44
37J. CompherL000020.451303923:43
62A. LehkonenL000+220.21110—23:15
96M. RantanenR000090.800105022:30
49S. GirardD011030.06202—20:57
9E. RodriguesC022+350.510007120:40
6E. JohnsonD000010.01312—15:42
18A. NewhookC000030.261026713:33
43D. HelmC000000.002006712:55
25L. O'ConnorR000000.00210—11:55
11A. CoglianoC000000.00010011:40
17B. HuntD101+220.22000—11:06
56K. MacDermidL000000.00100—08:26
59B. MeyersC000010.36100005:59
26J. MacDonaldD000000.00210—03:30
61M. KautR000020.11102—03:26
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)30282.9333.81+1.8162:05

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).