Skip to content
Sabres at Sharks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 9:52 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were BUF 31, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (33 saves, .943), 3. Steven Lorentz (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    S. Lorentz1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1518218431
SJSSJS11411308235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    D. Cozens(20)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:01
  2. SJS
    E. Svechnikov(6)
    J. MacDonald (3), S. Lorentz (6)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:49

2nd period

  1. BUF
    O. Power(4)
    A. Tuch (33), J. Skinner (32)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:26
  2. SJS
    A. Barabanov(11)
    L. Couture (27), E. Karlsson (56)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:57

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(21)
    T. Thompson (35)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +32 pts
    3-2
    9:52
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(26)EN
    R. Dahlin (45)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:59

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:28BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

2nd

  • 16:44SJSErik Karlsson · Holdingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 18:55BUFPeyton Krebs · Slashingdrawn by Kaapo Kahkonen2 min
  • 18:55SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

3rd

  • 1:23SJSTimo Meier · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Peyton Krebs0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalBUF goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 3rd 9:52 — BUF 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.37M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.33J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.18M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.13N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.13J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.11N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.11L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.10L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.10M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04E. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsSJS
3.93 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
10
12
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011+210.08232—26:51
25O. PowerD101+130.21010—23:45
23M. SamuelssonD000-100.00410—22:23
10H. JokiharjuD000+220.13000—22:14
89A. TuchR112+131.0001010017:30
72T. ThompsonC011050.661007316:47
19P. KrebsC000+130.421024116:36
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.07220—16:26
37C. MittelstadtC000030.360106015:32
53J. SkinnerL112020.42000—14:40
21K. OkposoR000010.032003314:39
28Z. GirgensonsC000+120.1400010014:23
22J. QuinnR000000.13000—14:05
17T. JostC000010.060004413:35
24D. CozensC101+110.020004613:33
71V. OlofssonL000+100.00000—13:19
77J. PeterkaR000+130.20000—12:29
38K. ClagueD000-100.00000—07:13
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)35332.9433.07+1.0760:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).