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Sharks at Sabres
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sabres led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 4:21 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were SJS 29, BUF 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 0.7 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Cozens (3 A), 2. Jack Quinn (2 G), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    D. Cozens3 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS21306110329
BUFBUF115313210638

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(16)PPG
    R. Dahlin (20), D. Cozens (13)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    9:19
  2. SJS
    N. Bonino(1)
    L. Kunin (8), E. Karlsson (23)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:40
  3. SJS
    K. Labanc(5)PPG
    M. Benning (9), M. Nieto (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    16:19

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(6)
    D. Cozens (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:16
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(12)
    H. Jokiharju (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    4:21
  3. BUF
    J. Quinn(5)PPG
    V. Olofsson (3), R. Dahlin (21)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    13:45

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(6)
    D. Cozens (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:23
  2. SJS
    O. Lindblom(1)
    M. Vlasic (7), L. Couture (11)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    11:52
  3. BUF
    A. Tuch(12)EN
    J. Skinner (15), T. Thompson (18)
    snapxG 0.63win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    16:37

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:33SJSEvgeny Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 8:39SJSKevin Labanc · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:50BUFDylan Cozens · Boardingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 0:33SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 12:09SJSAlexander Barabanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 20:00BUFDylan Cozens · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cicek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSJS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 2nd 4:21 — BUF 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.63J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.29O. Power · On goal · xG 0.25K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.22T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.21J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.19J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.18A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.17J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.17J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.17D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.16T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.15J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.13A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.12J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.08J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF6 G · 4.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsBUF
2.23 G
All situations
5 G4.9
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS20%80%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 4.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsBUF
29
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-240.24010—23:03
5M. BenningD011+120.02330—21:30
24J. MegnaD000-110.03230—21:04
39L. CoutureC011-120.172006019:20
44M. VlasicD011+130.09030—18:01
59N. CicekD000-100.00110—17:13
28T. MeierR000-210.0610210017:08
94A. BarabanovL000-240.45002—16:57
51R. SimekD000-100.00110—16:40
10E. SvechnikovL000000.00112—16:26
11L. KuninC011-110.08310016:13
48T. HertlC000-140.441005016:01
83M. NietoL011-100.00000—15:51
62K. LabancR101-110.08002—15:49
13N. BoninoC101-110.150006714:28
16S. LorentzC000020.040006411:20
23O. LindblomL101+130.37000—10:24
42J. GadjovichL000+100.00400—07:19
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(L)37325.8654.30-0.7058:57

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).