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San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV BSDET, NBCSCA·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Andrew Copp scoring at 0:25. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 0:25 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 30, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. James Reimer stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Ville Husso stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (1 G), 2. Michael Rasmussen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Copp1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS0122100800230
DETDET0122701016335

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin (27), F. Hronek (26)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:17
  2. SJS
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:58
  3. DET
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:29
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:53

Overtime

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:25

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:48DETJonatan Berggren · Roughingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 8:48SJSNoah Gregor · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 16:25SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

2nd

  • 9:35DETDominik Kubalik · Slashingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

3rd

  • 0:59SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalSJS goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, OT 0:25 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.27A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.18D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.17B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.14J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.10A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.10J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.06O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.05J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.04J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.04L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01
DET3 G · 3.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsDET
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS31%69%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsDET
30
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+110.10100—25:02
24J. MegnaD011+230.04110—21:38
5M. BenningD000010.02110—20:36
38M. FerraroD000-200.00210—19:35
28T. MeierR101+140.29000—18:46
94A. BarabanovL000-120.11000—18:33
39L. CoutureC101020.161105317:28
48T. HertlC011+100.040125717:21
44M. VlasicD000010.12002—17:17
59N. CicekD000-200.00300—14:40
83M. NietoL000-120.22000—14:33
62K. LabancR000+120.20100—14:30
7N. SturmC000-120.162004014:16
13N. BoninoC000-100.00010013:35
21M. EyssimontC000020.15010013:00
23O. LindblomL000040.23110—11:47
16S. LorentzC000-130.151003011:41
73N. GregorL000010.07112—10:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)35323.9143.40+0.4060:25

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).