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Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV BSDET, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the San Jose Sharks 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Moritz Seider's goal at 13:54 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were DET 21, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 4.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G, 2 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 3 A), 3. Kevin Labanc (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Perron1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    K. Labanc1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET142948721
SJSSJS290828425

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:56
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:39
  3. SJS
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:52

2nd period

  1. DET
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:27
  2. DET
    slapxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:44

3rd period

  1. DET
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:58
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    8:58
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    11:31
  4. DET
    wristxG 0.02win prob +38 pts
    5-4
    13:54
  5. DET
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    6-4
    16:23
  6. DET
    wristxG 0.92win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    18:45

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:58DETJoseph Veleno · Boardingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 10:05SJSLuke Kunin · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 15:47SJSAlexander Barabanov · Interferencedrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 7:37SJSNick Bonino · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDET goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Moritz Seider, 3rd 13:54 — DET 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.22T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.15T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.14A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.12S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.05E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsSJS
2.86 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.16 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET28%72%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsSJS
21
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD101+410.14010—22:40
2O. MaattaD000+300.02210—21:50
53M. SeiderD101-230.07130—21:17
8B. ChiarotD011-300.01250—20:11
57D. PerronL123+420.09300—17:49
71D. LarkinC022+330.870106517:44
81D. KubalikL112+220.94100—17:44
70O. SundqvistC000+100.00000016:25
59T. BertuzziL000-100.03100—16:00
18A. CoppC011-230.151005015:17
90J. VelenoC101+110.062223014:46
23L. RaymondL000-200.0000010014:44
82J. OesterleD000+220.07100—14:36
73A. ErneL011-100.00440—14:32
27M. RasmussenC011+100.043005014:00
52J. BerggrenR011+210.04010—13:12
96J. WalmanD101+210.05210—13:10
24P. SuterC112+120.23100012:05
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)25214.8402.55-1.4559:58

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).