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Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 11:14 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 45, PIT 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tristan Jarry (44 saves, .978), 3. Jason Zucker (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry44 saves, .978
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Zucker1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT012114019145
PITPIT214118112444

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(17)PPG
    J. Guentzel (22), J. Petry (10)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:14
  2. PIT
    J. Zucker(13)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-2
    11:57

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(19)
    B. Rust (18)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:12
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(17)
    T. Stützle (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(20)
    S. Crosby (32), B. Rust (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:13

Penalties

OTT 26 PIM·PIT 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:26OTTTravis Hamonic · Instigatordrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 10:26OTTTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Brock McGinn5 min
  • 10:26PITBrock McGinn · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 10:26OTTTravis Hamonic · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 3:02OTTAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 7:46PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 0:26PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:02PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 13:02OTTMathieu Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
  • 13:02PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 13:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Mark Friedman5 min
  • 13:50PITMark Friedman · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 1st 11:14 — PIT 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.22J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.21S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.14T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.08P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.04P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
3.91 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.40 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT58%42%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
45
Shots on goal
44
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/3
Power play
1/2
26
Penalty minutes
18
28
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-160.38010—26:32
85J. SandersonD000-130.03060—24:08
18T. StützleC011020.20000020:46
28C. GirouxR000-220.070105918:58
12A. DeBrincatR000-240.434005018:55
19D. BathersonR000010.02000—17:39
5N. HoldenD000040.18200—17:29
7B. TkachukL101060.402053717:13
9J. NorrisC000-220.35020017:05
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-110.14310—16:46
26E. BrannstromD000010.00010—15:37
57S. PintoC000030.681001115:03
61D. BrassardC000060.80000013:29
23T. HamonicD000-100.003117—13:21
21M. JosephR000000.00402—12:04
45P. KellyC000020.16410010:37
47M. KastelicC000000.002002910:07
16A. WatsonL000020.08302—09:23
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)44404.9093.32-0.6860:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).