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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4 in overtime, Brady Tkachuk scoring at 0:25. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 0:25 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were PIT 19, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (3 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby3 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT211131401419
OTTOTT21811111011540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(12)
    M. Pettersson (12), E. Malkin (27)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:36
  2. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(15)PPG
    D. Batherson (26), T. Chabot (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    1-1
    7:44
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(20)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (28)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:44
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin(16)PPG
    T. Smith (3), S. Crosby (29)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    15:23

2nd period

  1. PIT
    M. Friedman(1)
    M. Pettersson (13), S. Crosby (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:07
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(14)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (29), T. Chabot (17)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    9:19

3rd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(11)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (30), C. Giroux (24)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    10:58
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(16)PPG
    S. Crosby (31), E. Malkin (28)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    4-4
    12:33

Overtime

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(16)
    T. Stützle (22), T. Chabot (18)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    0:25

Penalties

PIT 18 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:45PITJason Zucker · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 7:09PITJeff Carter · High sticking double minordrawn by Derick Brassard4 min
  • 10:14OTTAustin Watson · Interferencedrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 13:11OTTJosh Norris · Boardingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 14:04OTTDylan Gambrell · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 15:51PITMark Friedman · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 7:55PITKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 12:44PITEvgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:19PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:19PITBryan Rust · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 7:31OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 9:10PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 11:30OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, OT 0:25 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.27T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.20T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.17T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.16T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.16J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.14D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.11J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.5 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
2.84 G
All situations
5 G4.5
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
1.02 G
Power play
4 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 4.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
4/9
18
Penalty minutes
10
34
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. DumoulinD000000.00110—24:13
28M. PetterssonD022+120.10420—21:44
2C. RuhwedelD000010.00610—21:27
87S. CrosbyC033000.010104819:40
71E. MalkinC123+140.841024018:12
59J. GuentzelC000010.18100018:05
52M. FriedmanD101+120.09132—17:31
17B. RustR000+110.28104—17:12
24T. SmithD011010.05200—16:51
77J. CarterC000000.081147516:42
67R. RakellR101+120.191005016:34
16J. ZuckerL101+110.74602—14:58
53T. BluegerC000010.012007514:56
73P. JosephD000+100.03102—12:16
23B. McGinnL000000.00100—11:28
42K. KapanenR000030.17202—10:16
10D. O'ConnorL000000.00100—10:03
45J. GrudenL000000.00200—03:20
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(O)40355.8754.49-0.5160:25

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).