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Canucks at Panthers
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV BSFL, SNP·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3. The Canucks scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 3:06 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.9, FLA 3.1; shots on goal were VAN 38, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (2 A), 3. Eric Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN19114115338
FLAFLA11531505435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Studnicka(4)
    I. Mikheyev (14)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:35
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(5)
    G. Smith (2), G. Forsling (21)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:58

2nd period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers(1)
    E. Pettersson (33), B. Boeser (17)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:39
  2. FLA
    E. Staal(7)
    J. Mahura (7), N. Cousins (9)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:46
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(7)PPG
    B. Montour (28), M. Tkachuk (31)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    3:06
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(11)PPG
    S. Reinhart (16), A. Ekblad (12)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    9:51

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(30)PPG
    E. Pettersson (34), Q. Hughes (34)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    10:02

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:18FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 2:12FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 2:12VANDakota Joshua · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 2:12VANDakota Joshua · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 5:14FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 9:00VANBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 11:26FLAGivani Smith · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 17:55VANLane Pederson · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 8:56FLAEric Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 19:43FLAAaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalVAN goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, 2nd 3:06 — FLA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.36M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.34E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.13E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.11R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.10C. White · Missed · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsFLA
2.93 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN46%54%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsFLA
38
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/5
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011020.08100—26:58
40E. PetterssonC022+130.591305322:53
53B. HorvatC101040.442225422:30
9J. MillerC000040.47100021:37
8C. GarlandR000030.20100—20:31
6B. BoeserR011+130.28010—18:28
57T. MyersD101070.21010—18:23
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.12000—17:31
2L. SchennD000020.02300—17:14
96A. KuzmenkoL000+100.00000—17:00
29L. PedersonC000010.052125015:57
65I. MikheyevR011030.10000—15:57
74E. BearD000010.01110—15:41
61R. StillmanD000000.01110—15:27
18J. StudnickaC101020.23000013:48
20C. LazarC000-110.011003307:31
7W. LockwoodR000-100.05210—05:32
81D. JoshuaC000-100.00204005:25
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Martin(L)35314.8863.11-0.8957:52

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).