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Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSFL, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 18:49 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 32, VAN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Spencer Martin stopped 12 of 14 (.857). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G), 3. Spencer Knight (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA3181915532
VANVAN0818017133

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:14
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:49
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    19:13

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    11:38
  2. VAN
    E. Bear (3), S. Dries (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:26

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    11:11

Penalties

FLA 11 PIM·VAN 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:24FLARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 13:40VANBrock Boeser · Interferencedrawn by Marc Staal2 min

2nd

  • 5:34VANDakota Joshua · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 8:25FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 8:25VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 18:10FLAAleksi Heponiemi · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

3rd

  • 3:25FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalFLA goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, 1st 18:49 — FLA 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.19E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.16C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVAN
3.75 G
All situations
1 G2.0
3.05 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA76%24%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
10
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD101+130.22010—24:32
5A. EkbladD000+200.05112—23:39
62B. MontourD000+110.05110—21:42
27E. LuostarinenC011+130.440105321:01
13S. ReinhartC011+110.280203320:14
19M. TkachukL123+230.43000—18:56
9S. BennettC202+340.603206318:47
18M. StaalD000+100.00030—18:37
23C. VerhaegheC011+240.42000017:13
12E. StaalC011+120.380103316:16
7R. GudasD000+110.01307—15:51
28J. MahuraD011+220.12100—14:20
21N. CousinsC000+210.07000013:45
94R. LombergL101+120.17000—12:53
70P. HornqvistR011+140.33100—12:12
6C. WhiteC000-100.0000010010:47
20A. HeponiemiC000-110.05002009:20
15A. LundellC000000.01000003:55
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)33321.9701.99+0.9960:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).